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Going the Distance – Fully Autonomous



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That's why Jeff's developed an AI to help spot these phenomena… weeks before they happen.
Make sure you go here to automatically add your name to the guest list to hear from Jeff about the strange phenomenon and how you can take advantage of these windows.

Going the Distance – Fully Autonomous

It turns out that this week has become a monumental week for autonomous driving technology. My timing for The Bleeding Edge – Hands-Free to Toronto – and Back turned out to be impeccable.
I chronicled my roughly 1,200-mile autonomous journey in my Tesla through extreme weather conditions. And, coincidentally, just yesterday, a team announced what it calls the first "Tesla FSD Cannonball Run," where they conducted a Los Angeles to New York road trip with zero interventions.
Source: Alex Roy – The Drive
They about tripled my distance by completing the 3,081-mile journey in 58 hours and 22 minutes. Fully level 5 autonomous driving coast to coast with zero interventions.
It is here, available to everyone, without any geofencing at all. Any road, any weather, anytime of the day or night.
And if that news isn't enough, Tesla is now offering widespread rides in its Robotaxi services in Austin, fully unsupervised, with no safety driver in the front seat – as of yesterday.
As a reminder, Tesla's self-driving system doesn't use LiDAR, and it doesn't require precision mapping in advance of every geographical area it operates in. It is entirely vision-based.
That means that it is here today. It works. And it can be scaled overnight to the entire country, and for that matter, the entire world.
Let's enjoy the ride,
Jeff
Quantum Brilliance?
Good morning Jeff,
Rigetti has had an extraordinary run [in 2025]. I took a position three years ago on your recommendation. Thanks! Their many patents, chip fab, and recent sales are all strong positives, but profitability is a way off.
What is your outlook for them for the next 5-10 years? Where do others in the industry stand relative to RGTI in that time frame? How does the recent room-temperature quantum system from Quantum Brilliance fit in the industry?
I assume there will be markets for a range of quantum systems of varying computing power.
– James M.
Hi James,
Congratulations on your success with Rigetti.
Rigetti (RGTI) has long been one of my strongest conviction plays in the quantum computing industry, and it remains so. I was a bit early on my recommendation, but my investment thesis was spot on. And given the stock rose all the way to around $56 last October, subscribers could make many multiples on their original investment.
Over the next 5–10 years, I am extremely bullish on quantum computing for one simple reason… Incredible leaps will be made in quantum error correction, leading to universal fault-tolerant quantum computing systems.
That, coupled with artificial intelligence, will enable us to solve complex problems that would otherwise be impossible for us to solve, as well as lead to novel inventions so sophisticated that we will have a difficult time understanding them, despite our being able to demonstrate that the technology works.
Multiple quantum computing companies will achieve this. What's so exciting about the industry is that public and private companies are exploring a range of approaches to building a fault-tolerant quantum computer. There will be multiple winners, but I fully expect that one approach will prove to be the most efficient and therefore capture the most market share.
It's funny how the media and journalists tend to fixate on room temperature as something that is a breakthrough or the endgame for quantum computing. They have all missed the point. Every data center on the planet is connected to a fiber optic backbone that connects the world's computing systems. Quantum computers are used for extremely complex tasks and aren't meant to be used as desktop computers.
We upload the data and algorithms, the quantum computer crunches the numbers, and the output returns. Quantum computing systems are already available widely through cloud services.
I would caution all subscribers about the hype about Quantum Brilliance, which is a tiny, private Australia-based company that has only raised about $50 million to date.
The company's positioning is that it has room-temperature quantum computers by taking advantage of the nitrogen-vacancy (NV) center in diamonds. These nitrogen-vacancy centers in diamonds have the longest coherence time of any room-temperature quantum state.
But the reality is something that you won't hear:
  • Quantum Brilliance's technology has not demonstrated that it can outperform a classical supercomputer (i.e., there is no demonstrated quantum advantage or quantum supremacy)
  • It has not demonstrated its performance through any peer-reviewed scientific research
  • It has created its own marketing lingo of "quantum utility" to try to differentiate itself
  • It has been unable to scale its technology to supercomputer levels. It only has very small-scale systems in research and development environments
While Quantum Brilliance has demonstrated something novel by using diamonds as a research and development initiative, there is nothing that gets me excited about this approach from a commercial perspective.
As for other approaches to room-temperature quantum systems, I touched on this subject in a recent Bleeding Edge issue – The Next Quantum Spin-Out?
This was following an interesting bit of research from a team of physicists at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech) who – with 6,100 trapped neutral-atom quantum bits (qubits) – managed to contain the largest array of neutral-atom qubits ever assembled.
It's fascinating research and a notable achievement… one that, as I said in the issue, represents incredible progress towards a fault-tolerant quantum computer. I highly encourage anyone who missed it to give it a read.
The main takeaway from that issue of The Bleeding Edge is that the team maintained the atoms in a state of superposition for 13 full seconds versus the milliseconds that most quantum computers have achieved thanks to this trapped-ion – or neutral-atom – approach, and here's why, as I wrote…
Trapped-ion or neutral atom approaches can maintain states of coherence measured in seconds.
The team at Caltech was able to set a record for both time – 13 seconds – and fidelity at 99.98%. Very impressive for a quantum computer.
One of the unique aspects of a trapped-ion or neutral atom approach to quantum computing is that they can basically operate at room temperature and don't require a dilution refrigerator to operate at temperatures near absolute zero.
This is because using lasers as optical tweezers to trap an atom doesn't require cryogenic temperatures. They do, however, require a high-vacuum chamber to isolate the atoms from any kind of environmental noise.
The advantage of neutral atoms is that they are more resilient to thermal fluctuations, as long as they are maintained in a high-vacuum chamber, like the one shown in the image below.
Ultra-high Vacuum Chamber Used to Set Record | Source: Caltech
Caltech isn't the only one pursuing a fault-tolerant quantum computer using this trapped-ion approach. There are a number of private companies as well…
On a related topic, in my 2026 predictions issue of The Bleeding Edge – Jeff's 2026 Outlook, I made some specific predictions about the industry for this year, as well as highlighted my concept of task-specific computing.
Quantum computers are being integrated directly into data centers alongside GPUs, CPUs, and application-specific semiconductor systems. Computational processes are becoming more sophisticated and being parsed out to different computational systems to optimize efficiency. This will be a major theme in 2026.

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Fueling Sun-Synchronous Orbits
Hello,
I always find your emails very interesting. Today's email, Alien Atmospheres, shows a picture of what a sun-synchronous orbit looks like.
This raises a question I have pondered since your first mention of them.
It seems that as the Earth orbits the sun, the satellite must change its orbit to track the sun, or it will spend part of the year with the Earth blocking the sun during part of the orbit.
Wouldn't a craft in such an orbit need a lot of fuel for orbit correction maneuvers?
– Les L.
Hi Les,
Thank you for reading, and thanks for the question. There is some nuance in what you're asking, which will be fun to explore.
The advantage of a sun-synchronous orbit is that the orbit maintains synchrony with the Sun. Fairly obvious by definition, a satellite in a sun-synchronous orbit is always passing over places on Earth that have daylight. In that way, it is not required to change its orbit or perform some kind of complex maneuvering.
With that said, every satellite experiences things like atmospheric drag (however small), pressure from solar radiation that "moves" the satellite (however small), and gravitational forces from the Sun, Moon, and Earth.
These natural forces do change the orbit of any satellite in space. Therefore, each satellite requires small maneuvers to maintain a precise orbit. These are done with small thrusters like the one shown below, small enough to hold in your hand.
B20 Thruster | Source: Dawn Aerospace
These maneuvers are usually infrequent. If very precise orbits are required, thrusters might be used every few weeks, but in most cases, they are only used every few months to maintain a good orbital position.
To your question, very little fuel (propellant) is needed to support these maneuvers, and every satellite is designed with this in mind. And there are various kinds of thruster technologies like chemical thrusters, electric propulsion thrusters, and cold gas thrusters as options for maintaining orbital position, which is typically referred to as station keeping.
Investing in Starlink?
Hi there,
I have read that some believe that if there is an IPO for Starlink, few will be able to participate. But some people believe that some companies that support Starlink with a lot of products, like AMD, St Microelectronics, and to a lesser degree, Destiny Tech100, would all surge exponentially if that IPO happens.
What are your thoughts?
– Gary C.
Hi Gary,
Thanks for this important question, which is also very timely given what's happening with Starlink and SpaceX.
To answer your question clearly, what you have heard is complete nonsense. An IPO for Starlink would not cause component suppliers to "surge exponentially," which suggests that they will suddenly rise multiples of where they are trading now.
Any supplier that provides technology to Starlink will certainly benefit as the Starlink network grows, but we should keep in mind that Starlink has "only" 9,400 satellites (roughly) in orbit today, with FCC approval for only 12,000. SpaceX does have plans to eventually grow that to 42,000 satellites, but that may not be necessary.
And the Starlink consumer terminals are also limited in terms of the addressable market. More importantly, the semiconductor or electronic component of Starlink satellites and terminals is a tiny fraction of the revenue for massive companies like AMD and ST Microelectronics.
Said another way, they have little leverage over Starlink's success.
At the moment, it appears that the original idea to spin out Starlink and take it public has been shelved. Instead, Musk is planning to take the parent company, SpaceX, public this year.
The very best way to gain investment exposure to the forthcoming SpaceX IPO and the success of Starlink is to find a way to invest in SpaceX pre-IPO or through entities that have exposure to SpaceX equity already.
It's going to be such a fun year,
Jeff

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