Global focus remains laser-fixed on the dance of inflation, geopolitical tension, and shifting trade policies. In this volatile climate, the crypto market continues to offer a distinct window of opportunity for those with conviction. |
The week of December 15–21, 2025, was a masterclass in market testing. While Bitcoin (BTC) flirted with $90,000 early in the week, it ultimately dropped due to broader macro nerves, slipping toward the $86,000–$88,000 range as investors pulled back ahead of year-end economic data and a widely expected Bank of Japan rate hike. |
This consolidation phase is testing even the most hardened crypto veterans, yet the underlying infrastructure and institutional support tell a story of quiet, strategic growth. |
Market Update - The Battle for Support |
The third week of December saw the crypto market cap edge down to approximately $2.98 - $3.0 trillion, a modest decline as momentum shifted from a vertical uptrend to a horizontal support test. |
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Bitcoin Dominance - BTC dominance remains the anchor of the market, holding firm at 59.1%. As altcoins—specifically Ethereum (which fell to 7.9% dominance)—take a harder hit, investors are rotating back to Bitcoin as a "decentralized antidote" to centralized chaos. |
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Fear & Greed Index - The Buying Zone? |
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plummeted deeper into the "Extreme Fear" zone this week. After hovering near 20/100, the index hit a local low of 16/100 by mid-week, the lowest level in three weeks. |
| ❝ | | | Be greedy when others are fearful. | | | | Warren Buffett |
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Historically, a stay in the "Extreme Fear" territory (readings below 20) has coincided with major cyclical bottoms. With the index averaging 16 for the week before moving up to 25, the "mood" on the street is one of high anxiety, often signaling a massive buying opportunity for long-term players. |
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Insights from the Front Lines |
Michael Saylor (Strategy Inc.) - Continued his relentless bull thesis, announcing that his company reached 661,000 BTC. Saylor emphasized that Bitcoin is evolving from an asset into "digital capital," the base layer for a new global credit industry. Mike Novogratz (Galaxy Digital) - While more measured than the "moon" bulls, Novogratz recently noted that while $250K might be a stretch for the immediate year-end, the $100K–$125K range remains the "most likely outlook" once the current macro volatility subsides.
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Crypto Media |
CoinDesk -Highlighted that "macro nerves are setting the tone," with traders reducing risk exposure ahead of final 2025 GDP and employment data. CoinTelegraph - Focused on the "institutional buildup" during the dip, noting that spot XRP ETFs exceeded $1B in inflows despite price volatility.
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Trump's Pro-Crypto Era |
The regulatory landscape in Washington has fundamentally shifted. The Trump administration's executive order to make crypto a national priority is gaining momentum. |
SEC Task Force - The newly formed Crypto task force, led by Commissioner Hester Peirce, is actively re-evaluating past enforcement actions to move toward a "clear and comprehensive" regulatory framework. Senate Momentum - The Senate Agriculture Committee continues to move the Boozman-Booker draft, which aims to give the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over spot digital commodity markets, effectively bringing crypto compliance in line with traditional finance.
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Top Weekly Crypto Movers (Top 1000) |
Despite the Extreme Fear in the market, some cryptos saw selective strength in projects with strong gains, while speculative meme coins faced a harsh reality check. |
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Luxxcoin (LUXX) - Surged +389% following a successful bridge to a major Layer-1 network and renewed whale interest. Humanity (HMT) - Up +169% as the "Proof of Personhood" narrative gains steam along with rising AI-generated content concerns. Fasttoken (FTN) - Gained +161% driven by a major ecosystem expansion and new exchange listings.
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Crypto Losers |
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Folks (FOLKS) - Dropped -79% as initial hype faded and early investors took profits. Legacy Token (LGCT) - Plummeted -59%, continuing its downward trend as capital rotates out of older ecosystem tokens. Sad Coin (SAD) - A swift collapse of -51%, suffering massive liquidations as the "extreme fear" sentiment hit speculative meme plays the hardest.
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The Ultimate Test of Conviction |
Extreme Fear at 16 and BTC testing $85K is where investor foundations are built. While retail investors are minimal, institutions and sovereign entities are quietly upgrading their positions. |
Tune out the noise, watch the structural wins in D.C., and remember today's caution is often tomorrow's opportunity. |
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