It's possible you feel like the world is unraveling... Once again, Americans are taking to the streets in anger. As I'm sure you've seen on the news, many folks are furious with actions from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Civil Unrest in 2025 Couldn't Stop the Markets' Growth
By Vic Lederman, publisher, Chaikin Analytics
It's possible you feel like the world is unraveling...
Once again, Americans are taking to the streets in anger. As I'm sure you've seen on the news, many folks are furious with actions from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Now, I'm going to intentionally sidestep the politics of this. After all, we're here as investors.
Still, there's no getting around the fact that social unrest feels omnipresent. And the mainstream media is running full tilt with fear narratives. That's true across the political spectrum.
So I don't blame you if you're feeling uneasy. But that doesn't mean that social unrest should affect your investing strategy.
Heck, we just saw a dramatic year for protests in America. It's estimated that some of the biggest single-day demonstrations in U.S. history happened in 2025.
But if you ran for the exits in your portfolio in response to this news, you would have missed out on big gains...
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Millions of Protestors Didn't Bother Major Indexes
Last summer's "No Kings" rally received plenty of media coverage...
It took place across the country on June 14. The exact size isn't clear... But according to some estimates, 4 million to 6 million Americans took to the streets that day to protest President Donald Trump's administration.
But the markets didn't flinch...
As regular readers know, we measure the broad market S&P 500 Index with the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY). And we measure the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index with the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ).
And by the end of the next trading day after the protest, both SPY and QQQ grew by about a percentage point.
Many folks might have expected a big wave of violence with the protests. And if you pulled your money out of the markets then, you wouldn't be too happy today...
SPY is up about 16% since the day before the protest. And QQQ is up roughly 18% over the same time frame. Take a look...
On October 18, Americans took to the streets again for another "No Kings" rally. Again, we don't know the exact numbers... But organizers estimated that roughly 7 million people participated.
In a similar fashion, both SPY and QQQ grew by about 1% by the close of the next trading day.
By now, SPY is up about 4% since the day before that October protest. And QQQ is up nearly 3%.
Folks, I think it's fair to say that no one wants to see Americans so angry that they're taking to the streets. And it's tempting to feel a strong response one way or another to civil unrest – especially when it's in your own backyard.
But investing based on your personal politics or your emotions is a recipe for disaster... Especially when it means letting gains pass you by.
After a chaotic start to 2026, we're likely to see more volatility this year. That could include more civil unrest here at home.
But don't make knee-jerk investing decisions based on it. Keep a level head... and remember to keep your personal politics and your emotions out of the picture.
Good investing,
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— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks are more Bullish than Large Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Consumer Staples
+7.32%
Energy
+6.49%
Materials
+4.43%
Industrials
+3.33%
Real Estate
+3.11%
Utilities
+3.1%
Consumer Discretionary
+1.12%
Communication
-0.38%
Health Care
-1.13%
Information Technology
-1.25%
Financial
-2.63%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Services
14
30
6
Over the past 6 months, the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production subsector (XOP) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -10.29%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #11 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 3 slots over the past week.
Top Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporat
PBF
PBF Energy Inc.
BKV
BKV Corporation
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
LYB
+6.84%
DOW
+6.44%
MOS
+5.46%
WY
+4.6%
EPAM
+4.44%
Losers
APP
-7.61%
INTU
-6.39%
APTV
-6.03%
ABNB
-5.2%
BIIB
-5.04%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
C Citigroup Inc.
Q4
$1.24
Missed by $-0.38
WFC Wells Fargo & Company
Q4
$1.76
Beat by $0.07
BAC Bank of America Corporation
Q4
$0.98
Beat by $0.03
* * * *
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