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Dividend Investor Insights: Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity



Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity

01/16/2026

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Dividend-paying defense investments offer opportunity for income and growth amid increased government military spending in the United States, Europe and other countries around the world.

One of the most contentious military conflicts is Russia's still-raging invasion of Ukraine almost four years after launching attacks against the country, as well as civilian targets. Russia's assaults are accompanied by death, destruction, attack drones and missiles.

The United States accused Russia on Jan. 12 of a "dangerous and inexplicable escalation" of its nearly four-year invasion of neighboring Ukraine as the Trump administration is seeking to arrange a ceasefire and advance negotiations for a lasting peace. Tammy Bruce, the U.S. deputy ambassador to the United Nations, criticized Russia's deadly launch of a nuclear-capable Oreshnik ballistic missile into a civilian area on Jan. 8 close to Ukraine's border with Poland, a NATO ally.

Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: Does Russia Require Deterring?

Russia's President Vladimir Putin claimed that an Oreshnik missile could reach speeds of up to Mach 10, or 10 times the speed of sound. A Russian government online post gave Oreshnik's maximum strike range as 3,417 miles. The missile reportedly can deliver warheads with a total yield equivalent to 45 atomic bombs dropped on the Japanese city of Hiroshima in 1945.

Soon thereafter, President Trump proposed a 66.5% increase in U.S. government defense spending in Fiscal Year 2027, compared to Fiscal Year 2026. The president's plan would increase the 2026 U.S. military budget of $901 billion to $1.5 trillion for the following fiscal year.

The stocks to purchase amid President Trump's planned boost in military spending also pay dividends that should appeal to income investors. The spending increase is needed to protect the United States during "troubled and dangerous times," President Trump said on Wednesday, Jan. 9.

"This will allow us to build the 'dream military' that we have long been entitled to and, more importantly, that will keep us safe and secure, regardless of foe," President Trump posted on Truth Social.

European Union (EU) member countries are banding together to fortify their military readiness to deter Russia's leaders from extending their ongoing aggression beyond Ukraine. The EU's executive arm recently proposed a 2 trillion-euro (US$2.31 trillion) budget for the bloc, with defense funding gaining significant support. Plans now are in place for the EU to spend 1.26% of the bloc's average gross national income during a seven-year period starting in 2028.

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Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: SHLD

The Forecasts & Strategies investment newsletter recommended a dividend-paying defense technology exchanged-traded fund, Global X Defense Tech ETF (AMEX: SHLD), in its weekly hotline on Jan. 5 after the exploits of U.S. special forces in capturing Venezuela's dictator Nicolás Maduro to face major drug trafficking and weapons charges in the United States. The ETF holds positions in the "best-of-bred" defense companies that keep the world safe, said Jim Woods, who described it as a favorite defense fund.

Woods, a former Army paratrooper who achieved an average return of more than 100% with two defense stocks he recommended a year ago in his Investing Edge newsletter, follows the companies in that industry closely. The biggest position in the SHLD fund is Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR), a defense and cybersecurity company. The stock is up 146.91% in the past year since Woods recommended it.


Jim Woods heads the Investing Edge newsletter.

Other top positions in SHLD include RTX Corp., Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris Tech. Those stocks have been trending up higher than the S&P 500 so far this year. The fund currently is offering a dividend yield of 0.46%.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com.

Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: XAR

"Defense has been a great investment this year and it's hard to pick the winning individual defense companies," said Michelle Connell, a charter financial analyst who heads Portia Capital Management in Dallas. "Why not consider a defense ETF that holds some of the best performing names?"


Michelle Connell heads Portia Capital Management.

Connell is recommending State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSEARCA: XAR). She described XAR as one of the best defense ETFs, with several of the industry's top 2025 performers. Those standouts include RTX (NYSE: RTX), Howmet Aerospace (NYSE: HWM) and Curtiss-Wright, Inc. (NYSE: CW).

XAR also offers a modest 0.4% dividend yield that may interest income investors who want exposure to the defense industry. Connell said she is recommending defense investments to a number of her money management clients.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com.

Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: LHX

Historically, the U.S. government only rarely has invested in American businesses, but the Trump administration has been willing to engage in such direct investments that could produce a positive return on investment. As a seasoned businessman, President Trump has a rare background among U.S. presidents.

Citi Research issued a report on Tuesday, Jan. 13, stating its $389 base case price target for LHX, based on valuation methodologies that include applying a 15.5x enterprise value (EV)/ earnings before interest, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple to 2027 EBITDA. The valuation uses historical ranges in conjunction with trading relationships to include factors such as margins, returns, growth and earnings momentum, Citi Research wrote in its research note.

But the company is not without significant risks from heavy dependence on U.S. government customers and spending priorities, Citi Research wrote. Those risks include unilateral contract actions, government shutdowns and shifts in defense budget allocations that could materially impact revenue and operations.

Additional risks include supply chain disruptions that pose another critical vulnerability. A further risk would stem from any failures in subcontractor or supplier performance that could delay product delivery, increase costs and damage customer relationships across its defense and technology portfolio, Citi Research continued.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com.

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Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: Geopolitical Risks

Ukraine estimates that 200,000 of its soldiers are absent without official leave (AWOL), meaning they have left their positions without permission to do so, the country's new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said on Wednesday, Jan. 14. While speaking to the Ukrainian Parliament before his confirmation vote to become the nation's new defense chief, Fedorov added that roughly two million of his fellow countrymen are "wanted" for avoiding military service.

Fedorov's comments mark a rare admission from a top Ukrainian official about the extent of the problem. By law, all Ukrainian men between the ages of 18 and 60 must register with the military, but only those 25-60 can be mobilized. Amid Ukraine's martial law, all men 23-60 who are eligible for military service are prohibited from leaving the country, but tens of thousands have fled illegally.

After meeting with Fedorov on Jan. 14, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky said that "broader changes" were needed to fix the country's mobilization process.

Russia also has been incurring a wave of defections from its potential combatants. The war in Ukraine is threatening to worsen further if Putin and his comrades in the country's leadership keep trying to deflect attention away from Russia's worsening economy and force its citizens to fight and die, despite limited territorial gains since the early phase of its invasion.

If a ceasefire is achieved in Ukraine, Britain and France have signed a historic agreement put peacekeeping troops on the ground in the war-torn country. The peacekeeping pact, signed at a summit in Paris by French President Emmanuel Macron, U.K. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky, could bring what has been called the "coalition of the willing" into a role to keep peace if a ceasefire occurs.

President Trump and his administration are supporting that initiative, as he seeks to forge peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. But Russia's role as the aggressor and demands to receive additional land beyond what it has seized on the battlefield is a blocking progress. Recent polls indicate roughly 75% of Ukrainians who responded oppose offering any land to Russia. The opinion poll reflects the sacrifices endured by Ukrainians to defend their freedom and protect against Russia's sustained assaults.

Claims by Russia's leaders that they seek peace so far belie the reality of attacking non-soldiers, including Ukraine's mothers and children who continue to be killed and injured severely. To end Russia's invasion, President Trump is advocating prosperity that usually occurs for countries that have the greatest freedom. Mark Skousen, PhD, the Doti-Spogli Chair of Free Enterprise at Chapman University in Orange County, California, is a free-market economist who travels the world to praise freedom as a conduit to open opportunities for economic growth across the globe.


Mark Skousen heads Forecasts & Strategies.

Dividend-paying Defense Investments Offer Opportunity: Humanitarian Crises

Russia's military keeps attacking innocent civilians in Ukraine with little apparent regard for human life, according to the United Nations. The invader's tactic of charging ahead to capture portions of Ukraine's territory after Russia's initial invasion gains nearly four years ago has drawn criticism from many military strategists. Russia's leaders remain in a protracted war, rather than on a path of economic growth through trade agreements that President Trump is offering both sides to end the fighting.

The human toll in Ukraine cannot be understated. Oleksiy Sorokin, the deputy chief editor of the Kyiv Independent, wrote on Jan. 15 that Ukraine's Capitol of Kyiv, where he is located, is coping with a "humanitarian crisis" after mass Russian air attacks targeting civilian infrastructure.

"It's the coldest winter in years, with the temperature outside dropping to -15°C (5°F)," Sorokin wrote. "Russian attacks have knocked out power, heating and hot water across Kyiv, leaving some parts of the city unlivable.

"I personally am still well off, despite having electricity and hot water for only a few hours a day. It's around 15-16°C (60°F) in my apartment, meaning it's cold but bearable. Others are not so lucky. Apartments of my friends and relatives have seen temperatures drop to around 5-6°C (40°F)."

Russia has relentlessly attacked Ukrainian energy infrastructure for years, finally achieving its goal of "pushing civilians to the brink," Sorokin reported.

"While the Russian state-run television does not show outright war crimes committed by its troops on the front line, it does brag about the unbearable conditions Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities have ended up in," Sorokin continued.

Russians and state-run-media in the country usually do not talk about the horrors of the Great Purge of 1937 and the Gulag system, the execution of Ukrainian and Baltic intelligentsia, the slaughter of Polish military elite and civilians in Katyn and the expulsion of Crimean Tatars and Chechens from their land, Sorokin counseled. But inhumane treatment of minorities by Russian leaders is a historical constant, he added.

"Everyday racism and xenophobia were always there," Sorokin commented. "Russians considered Ukrainians as second-class citizens, and those from Central Asia as third-class."

Russian soldiers reportedly strapped to an anti-tank mine at gunpoint to an African, Francis, to undertake an involuntary Kamikaze mission to draw fire from Ukrainian soldiers. Russia's problem in continuing to find fresh troops to put on the front lines has led it to seek out foreign fighters in exchange for payments that can put them in perilous danger against their will, once deployed.

Sincerely,

Paul Dykewicz, Editor
DividendInvestor.com

About Paul Dykewicz:

Paul Dykewicz is an accomplished, award-winning journalist who has written for Dow Jones, the Wall Street Journal, Investor’s Business Daily, USA Today, Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus and other publications and websites. Paul is the editor of StockInvestor.com and DividendInvestor.com, a writer for both websites and a columnist. He further is the editorial director of Eagle Financial Publications in Washington, D.C., where he edits monthly investment newsletters, time-sensitive trading alerts, free e-letters and other investment reports. Paul also is the author of an inspirational book, "Holy Smokes! Golden Guidance from Notre Dame's Championship Chaplain", with a foreword by former national championship-winning football coach Lou Holtz. Follow Paul on Twitter @PaulDykewicz.

 
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