Good Friday — here's what actually matters today. | The "Deal Economy" is officially back. | Morgan Stanley just reported a 47% surge in Investment Banking revenue this morning, confirming what Goldman Sachs signaled yesterday: Corporate America is making moves again. | But the consumer is sending mixed signals. Retail Sales missed headline estimates, yet "Core" spending beat expectations. We are tracking a new AI forecast flagging a major market move, a "hidden" Amazon perk, and the Reg A+ stock targeting the marketing industry. |
|
| 📉 The "AI Forecast": Market Exhaustion? | | The "Santa Rally" failed to show up. Now, the technicals are flashing amber. | The Context: For the third year in a row, the December rally stalled. The Nasdaq is struggling with "Technical Exhaustion," and the VIX is hovering near complacency lows (12.8).
The Forecast: Goldman Sachs sees an 11% return for 2026, but Morgan Stanley warns of a "Soft Patch" in Q1 before a recovery.
The Alert: A new AI-driven model has just flagged a specific move for U.S. stocks that most investors are ignoring. | 🎯 Actionable Trade: The "Volatility" Hedge | Ticker: VIXY (ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures) Logic: With the VIX at ~12 and "Greed" at 61, protection is cheap. Buy a small hedge against a Q1 pullback. Trigger: Add if S&P 500 breaks below 5,800.
|
|
| | | | (Sponsored by TradeSmith) | See this image? This isn't a headline. | | A new AI forecast just went live on U.S. stocks — and it's already flagging the next big move before the crowd even notices. | Click to see the forecast now. | |
| |
| | |
| | 🛒 Amazon ($AMZN): The "Prime" Stimulus | | The consumer is stretching, but Amazon is helping them spend. | The Data: Credit card delinquencies are rising (0.90% in Q4), signaling stress. Yet, Amazon's "Buy with Prime" is expanding to sites like Shopify, capturing more of the e-commerce pie.
The Offer: To keep users sticky, Amazon is pushing its Prime Visa aggressively. It offers 5% Cash Back at Whole Foods and Amazon—effectively an inflation hedge for loyal shoppers. | 🎯 Actionable Trade: The "E-Commerce" King | |
|
| | | | (Sponsored by FinanceBuzz) | If you're a Prime member, there's a smarter way to pay... | Most people overlook it. Same shopping. Same orders. Better return. | There's a card offering cash back at Amazon and Whole Foods, a $0 annual fee, and a limited-time welcome bonus if you apply and are approved. | No categories to track. No gimmicks. Just a cleaner checkout choice. | Learn how to Apply Now | |
| |
| | |
| | 🛍️ Friday Data: The Consumer Bends | | This morning's Retail Sales data tells a tale of two economies. | The Miss: Headline sales rose +0.4% (Missing the +0.6% estimate). Building materials and gas stations dragged the number down.
The Beat: The "Core Control Group" (which feeds into GDP) rose +0.7%, beating estimates.
The Takeaway: Americans are cutting back on renovations (Home Depot) but still spending on essentials and tech. The recession isn't here yet. | 🎯 Actionable Trade: The "Discretionary" Short | |
|
| | 🤖 RAD Intel ($RADI): The "ChatGPT of Marketing" | | Marketing is the first industry to be fully disrupted by AI. | The Stat: 92% of Fortune 500 CMOs are now using Generative AI. The days of guessing what ads work are over.
The Play: RAD Intel uses AI to predict content performance for giants like Hasbro and MGM.
The Opportunity: While ad-tech giants like AppLovin ($APP) trade at 70x earnings, RAD Intel is offering pre-IPO access via Reg A+ at a fixed price. | 🎯 Actionable Trade: Pre-IPO Access | |
|
| | | | (Sponsored by RAD Intel) | Meet the ChatGPT of Marketing – And It's Still Just $0.85 a Share | Think Google/Facebook-style targeting, but smarter, faster, and built for the next era of AI. | | Major brands are already using RAD Intel. Here's the kicker: RAD Intel is still private—but you can invest right now at just $0.85 per share. They've already reserved their Nasdaq ticker, $RADI. | Missed Nvidia? Missed Shopify? This is your second shot. | Invest Today at $0.85/Share. | |
| |
| | |
| | 🏦 Morgan Stanley ($MS): The 47% Surge | | Morgan Stanley closed out bank earnings week with a bang. | The Number: Investment Banking revenue jumped 47% to $2.41 Billion.
The Driver: M&A and IPOs are back. CEO Ted Pick says the backlog is "Robust and Growing."
The Reaction: Shares rose 1.6% pre-market. Financials are officially the leaders of the 2026 market so far. | 🎯 Actionable Trade: The "Bank" Breakout | |
|
| | 📋 Today's Trade Cheat Sheet | A quick summary of the opportunities on our radar today: | Ticker | Theme | Bias | Action | VIXY | Market Hedge | 🟡 Defensive | Buy if SPX < 5,800 | AMZN | Prime Value | 🟢 Bullish | Long Hold | RADI | AI Marketing | 🟢 Speculative | Invest @ $0.85 | MS | Inv. Banking Boom | 🟢 Bullish | Buy Breakout | HD | Housing Slowdown | 🔴 Bearish | Avoid / Short |
|
|
| | POLL — The Consumer CheckRetail Sales were mixed. How is your spending looking for 2026? | |
|
| | Disclaimer: The content provided in this newsletter, including all "Actionable Trade" sections and specific ticker mentions is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. | All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. "Actionable Trades" are hypothetical ideas based on market commentary and should not be interpreted as specific recommendations to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. |
|
|
|
0 التعليقات:
إرسال تعليق