Capitulation? This Oversold Bitcoin Metric Usually Precedes Big Moves

Technical Structure and RSI History Point to a Massive Reversal

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Capitulation? This Oversold Bitcoin Metric Usually Precedes Big Moves  Hey, Graham Lindman here… Sometimes the best trading setups are hiding in plain sight. Late last week, Bitcoin's weekly RSI fell below 30 — and if you understand what this means historically, you'll want to pay close attention to what happens next. Every time that's happened in the past, over the next four to six days, it's gone higher, and we're not talking about modest gains here. We're looking at sizable moves — 13% and 16% previously — the kind of fast reversals that can turn a small options position into serious profit. What makes this so compelling isn't just the consistency, it's the context. Bitcoin has always moved in clear cycles, grinding down into major lows before exploding into fresh highs. We've seen it take 1,064 days to run from the 2015 lows to the 2017 highs, then only 364 days to crash from the 2017 peak to the 2018 bottom.  When extreme oversold readings happen within these broader cycles, they tend to mark true exhaustion points — the kind that trigger powerful snapbacks. Why This Setup Works Every Time The weekly RSI below 30 captures something shorter time frames miss: genuine capitulation. When Bitcoin gets hammered down this far on the weekly chart, the selling pressure simply becomes unsustainable.  That's why the snapbacks happen quickly and decisively. And we’ve already seen it rally well off the lows.  What's interesting is how this lines up with other technical work. While I hadn't seen Jeffry Turnmire’s drawing below that he shared Friday on our emergency Bitcoin roundtable before that day, his structure aligns almost perfectly with what the RSI signal is telling us.   When multiple timing factors converge like this, you're not looking at random noise — you're looking at the potential for a major reversal window. Understanding the broader cycles also matters. Bitcoin doesn't move in straight lines, but it does repeat behavior. Long expansions, sharp collapses, prolonged accumulation, then another expansion. Oversold weekly conditions during these transition zones have historically offered some of the cleanest entry points. How to Capitalize on This Signal This is where the opportunity becomes especially powerful. The beauty of this setup is how cleanly it translates to options trading. Last weekend's trade in the members area only needs about a 1% pop in Bitcoin to double. When you combine that with a setup that historically delivers far stronger moves, the risk‑to‑reward becomes exceptionally attractive. Friday's option entry is $0.24 — just $24 per contract — which is precisely why these trades can explode even when Bitcoin barely moves. We've already seen returns like 69%, 43 to 94%, 94% and 118% from similar conditions. If the pattern holds and we get a quick rebound, this one has the potential to deliver a 100% return. But none of this works without understanding volatility. Bitcoin moves fast, and if you're not OK with volatility, you probably don't want to trade Bitcoin. The key is embracing controlled risk — small position sizes, defined entries, clear exits. Volatility isn't the enemy. It's the engine that makes these trades possible. Naturally, we won’t make reckless promises when it comes to trading, but if you want to learn more about how I trade Bitcoin, we’ve offering a very special deal… One month for just $97 — check it out here for more info! We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability but no one can guarantee the future.From 2/1/24-2/06/26 we have seen a 75% win rate on LIVE trade alerts with a 36% average return of winners and losers and a 79% average winner over a 11 day average hold time Graham Lindman Graham Lindman Trading Follow along for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more in my public Telegram channel! Important Note: No one from the Prosperity team or Graham Lindman Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. _______________________________________________

Capitulation? This Oversold Bitcoin Metric Usually Precedes Big Moves    Hey, Graham Lindman here…   Sometimes the best trading setups are hiding in plain sight. Late last week, Bitcoin's weekly RSI fell below 30 — and if you understand what this means historically, you'll want to pay close attention to what happens next.   Every time that's happened in the past, over the next four to six days, it's gone higher, and we're not talking about modest gains here. We're looking at sizable moves — 13% and 16% previously — the kind of fast reversals that can turn a small options position into serious profit.   What makes this so compelling isn't just the consistency, it's the context. Bitcoin has always moved in clear cycles, grinding down into major lows before exploding into fresh highs. We've seen it take 1,064 days to run from the 2015 lows to the 2017 highs, then only 364 days to crash from the 2017 peak to the 2018 bottom.    When extreme oversold readings happen within these broader cycles, they tend to mark true exhaustion points — the kind that trigger powerful snapbacks.   Why This Setup Works Every Time   The weekly RSI below 30 captures something shorter time frames miss: genuine capitulation. When Bitcoin gets hammered down this far on the weekly chart, the selling pressure simply becomes unsustainable.    That's why the snapbacks happen quickly and decisively.   And we’ve already seen it rally well off the lows.    What's interesting is how this lines up with other technical work. While I hadn't seen Jeffry Turnmire’s drawing below that he shared Friday on our emergency Bitcoin roundtable before that day, his structure aligns almost perfectly with what the RSI signal is telling us.   When multiple timing factors converge like this, you're not looking at random noise — you're looking at the potential for a major reversal window.   Understanding the broader cycles also matters. Bitcoin doesn't move in straight lines, but it does repeat behavior. Long expansions, sharp collapses, prolonged accumulation, then another expansion. Oversold weekly conditions during these transition zones have historically offered some of the cleanest entry points.   How to Capitalize on This Signal   This is where the opportunity becomes especially powerful. The beauty of this setup is how cleanly it translates to options trading. Last weekend's trade in the members area only needs about a 1% pop in Bitcoin to double. When you combine that with a setup that historically delivers far stronger moves, the risk‑to‑reward becomes exceptionally attractive.   Friday's option entry is $0.24 — just $24 per contract — which is precisely why these trades can explode even when Bitcoin barely moves. We've already seen returns like 69%, 43 to 94%, 94% and 118% from similar conditions. If the pattern holds and we get a quick rebound, this one has the potential to deliver a 100% return.   But none of this works without understanding volatility. Bitcoin moves fast, and if you're not OK with volatility, you probably don't want to trade Bitcoin. The key is embracing controlled risk — small position sizes, defined entries, clear exits. Volatility isn't the enemy. It's the engine that makes these trades possible.   Naturally, we won’t make reckless promises when it comes to trading, but if you want to learn more about how I trade Bitcoin, we’ve offering a very special deal…   One month for just $97 — check it out here for more info!   We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability but no one can guarantee the future.From 2/1/24-2/06/26 we have seen a 75% win rate on LIVE trade alerts with a 36% average return of winners and losers and a 79% average winner over a 11 day average hold time Graham Lindman Graham Lindman Trading   Follow along for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more in my public Telegram channel!   Important Note: No one from the Prosperity team or Graham Lindman Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram.   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.   _______________________________________________

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to ahmedwithnour@gmail.com by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day.   DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk.   DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/?mobile=1 for our full Terms and Conditions.   Unsubscribe This email was sent to ahmedwithnour@gmail.com by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub