Just a heads up — keep reading to the Stinger section. Worth it 👇 |
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After weeks of pushing higher, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite stepped back, with tech leading the move lower. |
It wasn’t a sharp selloff… more like a shift in tone. |
The reason was simple - inflation. |
The latest CPI print came in hotter than expected — with both headline and core readings moving higher again. |
This time, the driver is energy. |
Oil pushed higher again as tensions in the Middle East worsened and hopes for a deal faded. And that’s where the pressure comes from. |
Higher oil → higher inflation → fewer rate cuts. |
That chain is back in focus. |
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⚡ Closing Bell:
→ Dow Jones: ▲ +0.11% to 49,760.56 › Held up as healthcare offset broader weakness
→ S&P 500: ▼ −0.16% to 7,400.96 › Slipped as inflation concerns returned
→ Nasdaq: ▼ −0.71% to 26,088.20 › Led lower as tech and chips pulled back
→ Russell 2000: ▼ › Followed risk lower as sentiment cooled |
Nine of eleven sectors closed red.
Consumer discretionary and tech led the declines, while healthcare provided support.
Semiconductors were a key drag on the session, pulling the broader market lower.
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Macro Moves:
→ 10-Year Treasury Yield: ▲ ~4.47% › Moved higher as inflation expectations picked back up
→ 2-Year Treasury Yield: ▲ ~4.00% › Climbed as markets priced fewer chances of rate cuts
→ U.S. Dollar (DXY): ▲ ~98.3 › Firmed to near a one-week high as risk sentiment softened
→ Bitcoin: ▼ ~$80K–$81K › Pulled back from recent highs as risk sentiment weakened
Yields are creeping higher, the dollar is firming, and some of the risk appetite is coming out of the system.
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❗❗❗ Looking Ahead:
All eyes on:
→ PPI (Today) → confirmation layer
→ Retail Sales (Thursday) → consumer strength check
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#TRUTH:
❗❗❗ ❝ The man who moves a mountain begins by carrying away small stones. ❞
~ Confucius
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BREAKING UPDATE: Elon Musk Just Filed the SpaceX IPO
It was supposed to be confidential...
But it's become the worst-kept secret on Wall Street. |
Right now, 21 banks are lining up to underwrite the $1.75 TRILLION deal - JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley. |
June is the target date for launch... |
That gives everyday Americans a small window to get positioned before Wall Street insiders gobble up all the profits.
Click here to claim your Pre-IPO SpaceX "Access Code" |
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It’s Spreading |
Inflation had an excuse for a while:
→ Energy spikes. One-offs. Temporary shocks. |
That’s getting harder to argue. |
April CPI came in hotter than expected, rising 3.8% year-over-year, with energy responsible for roughly 40% of the increase. |
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However, the bigger issue isn’t where it started but where it’s going. |
Higher energy costs are now showing up across the economy — from food to services — and that’s exactly what the Fed has been watching for. |
The point where inflation stops being isolated… and starts spreading. |
Because once that happens, it’s no longer something policymakers can ignore. |
Core inflation also ticked higher, and services — the stickiest part of the basket — are still moving in the wrong direction. |
Not just inflation staying high but it’s becoming broader. |
Now the conversation is quietly shifting toward rate hikes.
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Speculation Still Bids |
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Oklo posted a slightly wider-than-expected loss for the quarter, with net income coming in at −$33.1 million. |
The stock moved more than the fundamentals. |
Down after the release. → Then up. → Then back down again. |
In short, Oklo’s being traded on what it might become. |
A zero-revenue company… still one of the most valuable names tied to the AI energy buildout. Because as data centers scale, so does the need for power. |
Oklo’s pitch is simple: |
Small nuclear reactors → steady energy → AI infrastructure. |
The company is pushing forward on both fronts. |
Its Aurora reactor in Idaho cleared another regulatory step, with the potential to generate 75 megawatts — enough to power tens of thousands of homes or support energy-hungry data centers. |
At the same time, it’s leaning into AI itself. |
Using it not just as a demand driver… but as part of how it designs and builds its reactors. |
So the positioning here matters more.
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Bigger Than Expected |
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The AI race isn’t slowing. It’s getting more expensive. |
Anthropic is reportedly in talks to raise $30 billion at a valuation north of $900 billion. |
Not confirmed and not finalized. But close enough to matter. |
Just months ago, the company was valued around $350 billion. Now it’s pushing toward nearly triple that. |
And it’s not happening in a vacuum. The demand is real. |
But so is the cost. |
Anthropic needs capital for one reason: |
→ Compute.
→ Training models.
→ Running them.
→ Keeping up with demand. |
That’s where the money is going. |
Big Tech is already in. |
→ Google has committed billions, with more tied to performance.
→ Amazon is doing the same.
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Gains & Pains: |
Gains:
➝ Healthcare: Humana (▲ +7.7%) › Jumped after a 36% price target hike boosted sentiment across the sector |
➝ Industrials / Automation: Zebra Technologies (▲ +11.4%) › Surged after raising its annual sales growth forecast |
➝ Energy / LNG: Venture Global (▲ +14.2%) › Climbed after lifting its full-year profit outlook |
➝ Small Caps / Speculative: PACS Group (▲ +28.7%), BuzzFeed (▲ +90.4%), Quantum Computing (▲ +15.8%) › Sharp moves driven by earnings beats, deal news, and momentum flows |
😬 Pains:
➝ Semiconductors: Micron Technology (▼ −3.7%), Western Digital (▼ −5.3%), Seagate Technology (▼ −3.0%), Sandisk (▼ −6.2%)
› Pulled back as policy headlines hit the memory chip space |
➝ AI / Software: GitLab (▼ −10.0%), D-Wave Quantum (▼ −7.0%), Rigetti Computing (▼ −7.1%)
› Slipped as expectations reset across AI-linked names |
➝ Consumer / Apparel: Under Armour (▼ −16.8%) › Dropped on weak sales outlook |
➝ Healthcare / Telehealth: Hims & Hers (▼ −14.1%) › Fell after restructuring and strategic pivot |
➝ Autos / EV: Tesla (▼ −2.6%) › Slipped on robotaxi doubts |
➝ Crypto / Infra: MARA Holdings (▼ −5.1%), CleanSpark (▼ −5.8%), TeraWulf (▼ −2.6%) › Weakened after earnings misses and softer sentiment |
➝ Tech / Hardware: Applied Optoelectronics (▼ −5.4%) › Fell on weak sales and guidance |
➝ Energy / Small Cap: T1 Energy (▼ −3.2%), Power Solutions International (▼ −39.1%) › Extended losses following earnings reactions |
➝ Quantum / Space: AST SpaceMobile (▼ −11.6%) › Dropped after revenue miss |
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Escapes: |
Carlsbad Caverns National Park 📍 NM 🇺🇸 |
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Commodities Check : ✔️ |
→ WTI Crude: ▲ to ~$99.3 › Moved higher as Middle East tensions stayed elevated |
→ Brent Crude: ▲ to ~$108 › Held elevated as ceasefire hopes faded |
→ Gold: ▼ to ~$4,730 › Slipped as yields and the dollar moved higher |
→ Soybeans: ▲ to ~$12.35 › Pushed higher toward recent highs |
→ Corn: ▲ to ~$4.82 › Continued firming within its recent range |
→ Wheat: ▲ to ~$6.86 › Climbed as drought concerns stayed in focus
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The stinger: |
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Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
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Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
This publication is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice and is not based on any individual’s financial circumstances, goals, or risk tolerance. We are not registered investment, stock, or commodity advisors. Always consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. |
Information provided in this newsletter (and on any affiliated website) is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions expressed are those of the authors and are subject to change without notice. |
From time to time, this publication may include sponsored content, affiliate links, or advertisements. Such inclusions do not constitute endorsements, and any compensation received does not influence the analysis or opinions presented. TradingLessons is not affiliated with, nor does it verify or guarantee the claims, products, or services of any sponsor or advertiser. Readers should perform their own due diligence before engaging with any advertised offerings. |
Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy, sell, or trade any security, commodity, derivative, or other financial instrument. This content is intended solely to highlight market developments and educational insights to help readers enhance their understanding of trading and risk management.
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