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You asked for more specific trade setups. We heard you. Today’s issue leads with the numbers and the tickers. Less metaphor, more math. |
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Two numbers today. Oil rose 7% in two sessions. The chip index rose 6% on the same day. Both up hard, at the same time. One is an inflation signal. The other is a growth signal. They cannot both be right for long. Here are five specific trade setups built around that tension — because 70% of you told us that’s what you want more of. |
Goldman Sachs just told you what to buy (most people missed it) ad |
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OIL +7%. CHIPS +6%. ONE OF THEM IS WRONG. |
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Oil rose 7% in two sessions after Iranian news agencies cast doubt on the peace talks. Brent is back above $93. A senior executive at Vitol — the world’s largest independent oil trader — told Bloomberg that the U.S. and Europe are "asleep at the wheel" on the severity of the oil crisis. |
At the same time, chipmakers surged 6% Tuesday. HPE beat earnings and raised guidance. The S&P is in its longest winning streak since May 2025. The market is pricing both a lingering oil crisis and an accelerating AI boom at the same time. |
Here is the simple math. Oil above $90 feeds inflation. Inflation above 3.5% keeps the Fed from cutting rates. High rates eventually compress the AI valuations that are driving the rally. The question is not whether this breaks — it is when. The trade is to hold both sides: participate in the AI rally, but keep an energy hedge that profits if inflation stays hot. Don’t pick one story. Own the tension. |
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🎯 Actionable Trade Setup: |
SMH (semiconductor ETF): Hold. Entry was $280s in April; currently ~$340. Set a trailing stop at $310 (the 50-day moving average). If it holds, ride it. If it breaks, you’re out with a 10% gain. XLE (energy ETF): Hold as inflation hedge. Currently ~$97. Add if it pulls back to $92-93. Stop at $87. USO (oil): Watch Brent $95 as the key level. Above $95 means Iran talks failed again. Below $88 means the deal is gaining traction. SGOV (T-bills): Hold 15-20% of portfolio in cash at ~4.3%. This is optionality, not laziness — deploy into whichever side of the tension breaks first. TLT (long-duration bonds): Avoid. 30-year yield still near 5%. Long bonds lose money in this environment.
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Market Delta: Wednesday June 3, Pre-Market
S&P longest winning streak since May 2025 | chip index +6% Tue
Oil +7% in 2 sessions (Iran doubts resurfacing) | Brent back above $93
HPE surged (beat + raised guidance) | CrowdStrike earnings today
Vitol exec: U.S. and Europe “asleep at the wheel” on oil crisis
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THE "TRILLION DOLLAR TRIANGLE" |
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There is a less-publicized shift happening beneath the chip boom: a technology called wafer-scale computing, where an entire silicon wafer is used as a single interconnected chip instead of being sliced into thousands of separate pieces. The result is massively more processing power using dramatically less energy. Three companies are building in this space, and one analyst with a long track record in identifying early tech shifts argues their convergence could rival the biggest investment opportunities of the past three decades. |
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Sponsored |
In 1991, George Gilder predicted smartphones would change everything.
In 1994, he predicted Blockbuster would be replaced by streaming.
In 1996, he forecast e-commerce would dominate retail. |
Apple rose over 249,900% from its IPO.
Netflix, over 112,700%.
Amazon, over 216,100%. |
Now he says computers as we know them are about to become obsolete. A breakthrough called “wafer-scale technology” is being developed by three companies. Instead of slicing silicon wafers into individual chips, this technology uses an entire wafer as a single interconnected “super-chip.” Processing power that handles more data in minutes than conventional systems process in hours. Using 90% less energy. |
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Three companies in this arena are about to converge. One is about to IPO. Gilder calls it the “Trillion Dollar Triangle.” |
Read George Gilder’s full briefing on the Trillion Dollar Triangle here |
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THE SPACEX SUPPLY CHAIN — WHERE THE REAL MONEY MOVES |
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SpaceX filed to launch one million satellites. That requires billions of chips, custom power equipment, and years of supplier commitment. The IPO will price at $1.75 trillion. Most retail investors will not get an allocation. The investors who do best in mega-IPOs tend to own the supply chain, not the headline name. |
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Sponsored |
SpaceX is preparing to go public — and almost everyone is focused on the wrong thing. CNBC called it “the big market event of 2026.” |
But this isn’t a rocket story. In February, SpaceX acquired xAI — then filed with the FCC to launch 1 million orbital satellites. Each one a mini data center. Powered by the sun. No electricity bills. No land restrictions. |
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Former tech executive Jeff Brown says this is Elon’s AI master plan. Elon himself is predicting a 1,000x return. |
Everyday Americans can get in — starting with as little as $500. No accreditation. No connections. But only before the filing hits headlines. |
Click here — see how $1,000 puts you in the middle of this event |
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🎯 Actionable Trade Setup: |
Public SpaceX supply-chain names: POWL (Powell Industries, power equipment), GEV (GE Vernova, turbines/grid), VRT (Vertiv, data center cooling). All are real companies with growing backlogs. POWL: ~$380. Backlog over $1.5B and growing. Stop at $320. This is the most direct "power bottleneck" play. GEV: ~$460. Broader grid play. Stop at $400. "1,000x return" is marketing language. SpaceX at $1.75T is already priced for extraordinary growth. Size any SpaceX-adjacent bet as speculation, not a core holding.
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🔒 OBBBA Rule Watch: Tax Rule of the Day
New 401(k) Contribution Limit: $24,500 for 2026
The OBBBA raised the standard 401(k) contribution limit to $24,500 for 2026, up from $23,500. If you’re 50 or older, you can add a $8,000 catch-up on top of that, for a total of $32,500. And if you’re 60 to 63, the SECURE 2.0 “super catch-up” lets you contribute roughly $11,250 extra instead of $8,000 — a total of $35,750. For a working couple both 60-63, that’s over $71,000 per year in combined tax-advantaged savings. The practical step: log into your plan administrator and confirm your payroll deduction is set to the new limit. Most plans don’t auto-adjust when the limit rises.
Why it matters: The difference between contributing $23,500 and $24,500 is $1,000 more in tax-advantaged growth per year — which compounds to roughly $14,000 over a decade at 7%. Free money if you’re not already at the new limit.
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THE SATELLITE CONNECTIVITY BET |
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The Starlink satellite network now covers areas where cell towers never existed. As that coverage expands, every connected smartphone becomes a potential revenue-generating platform. The companies building services on top of that connectivity — earning apps, payment tools, financial access for the 3 billion people who currently lack it — are the second-derivative plays. One of them is currently running a Regulation A+ offering. |
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Sponsored |
Something BIG is set to transform the entire mobile landscape. By leveraging SpaceX’s satellite technology alongside Mode Mobile’s innovative EarnPhone™ system, this advancement is set to revolutionize global access to mobile services. |
While companies like Apple and Amazon focus on traditional infrastructure, Mode Mobile and SpaceX are targeting remote and underserved areas — 3 billion unbanked people worldwide could soon have access to the world’s most advanced mobile services. |
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Mode Mobile’s revenue grew 32,481% even before the satellite launch. 490 million users. $1B earned & saved. |
👉 Invest in Mode Mobile now. |
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🎯 Actionable Trade Setup: |
Satellite-connectivity public names: ASTS (AST SpaceMobile, direct-to-cell), GSAT (Globalstar, Apple satellite partner). Both are public, liquid, and let you play the theme without pre-IPO illiquidity risk. ASTS: ~$28. Volatile. Stop at $21. This is the purest satellite-to-phone public play. Pre-IPO / Reg A+ offerings (like Mode): Illiquid, company-valued, no guaranteed listing. Treat as venture-stage risk capital. Never use retirement savings. Read the offering circular first.
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FIVE NUMBERS. THAT’S THE WHOLE POST |
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You told us to be more specific. Here are the five numbers from today’s issue: |
$93 — Brent crude. Above this level, inflation stays hot and the Fed can’t cut. Below $88, the deal is real.
$310 — SMH stop level. If chip stocks break their 50-day average, the AI rally is done for now.
$92 — XLE buy zone. Add energy hedges on a pullback to this level.
4.3% — SGOV yield. What your cash earns while you wait for the right entry.
15-20% — the share of your portfolio that should be in cash or equivalents right now, given records built on one theme with unresolved oil risk. |
That’s the whole post. Five numbers, five trades. No riddles. |
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Trade Cheat Sheet: Wed June 3
| TICKER |
PRICE |
BIAS |
STOP / LEVEL |
| SMH |
~$340 |
🟢 Hold |
Stop $310 (50-day MA) |
| XLE |
~$97 |
🟢 Hold / add $92 |
Stop $87 |
| POWL |
~$380 |
🟢 Buy |
Stop $320. Power bottleneck play |
| ASTS |
~$28 |
⚖️ Speculative |
Stop $21. Satellite-to-phone pure play |
| SGOV |
~$100 |
🟢 Hold 15-20% |
~4.3% yield. Your optionality |
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📊 POLLWhat's the ONE thing you wish this newsletter did differently? |
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Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com. This is a paid advertisement for Mode Mobile’s Regulation A+ Offering. Mode Mobile recently received their ticker reservation with Nasdaq ($MODE), indicating an intent to IPO in the next 24 months. An intent to IPO is no guarantee that an actual IPO will occur. The Deloitte rankings are based on submitted applications and public company database research, with winners selected based on their fiscal-year revenue growth percentage over a three-year period. Pro forma revenue and EBITDA, includes full year numbers of the businesses acquired throughout 2025. |
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