Editor’s Note: My new AI trading algo is the AI Profit Predictor. And it’s finding new trades with some amazing results. |
100% in Tesla in just over 3 weeks. 114% in Paramount in 7 days. 229% in Freeport in 26 days. |
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The prediction market Kalshi is now generating more than $2 billion in annualized revenue — roughly triple where it stood in November. |
That number, first reported by The Information, has done something predictable: it's pulled Wall Street to the table. |
The company’s executives have started holding informal conversations with investment banks about an eventual IPO. |
Kalshi is a federally regulated exchange where people trade Yes/No contracts on real-world events — elections, Fed decisions, NBA games, the World Cup. Each contract settles between a penny and 99 cents, and pays out $1 if you're right. |
The business model looks less like a sportsbook and more like a stock exchange. Kalshi charges a fee on trading volume — historically around 1.1% to 1.2% — and doesn't take the other side of your bet. |
Want to get next week’s AI trades? Here’s a link to check it out. |
Traders ran roughly $178 billion through the platform over the past year. In the first two weeks of June alone, Kalshi cleared $10 billion in volume — up from $435 million during the same stretch a year earlier. |
The regulatory setup is the real moat. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange, which means it can offer contracts across all 50 states without stitching together licenses state by state. Its main rival, Polymarket, runs mostly on crypto rails offshore. |
Now for the part the headlines skip. |
CEO Tarek Mansour went on CNBC and said plainly that no IPO is happening in 2026. The talks are early. Most reporting points to a listing date in 2027. |
There's real risk here, too. Sports contracts make up around 70% of Kalshi's volume, and several states have sued, arguing it's running unlicensed sports gambling. Kalshi says the claims are meritless. |
Instead of an IPO, the nearer-term event is a funding round. Kalshi is reportedly raising fresh capital at a roughly $40 billion valuation — nearly double the $22 billion mark it hit in May. |
This is one of the fastest-scaling fintech stories I've covered, and the exchange economics are genuinely attractive. But "thinking about" an IPO and filing one are very different things. I'd watch the $40 billion round and a CFO hire as the signals that matter. |
My team just unveiled a new AI Profit Predictor. It’s an innovative way to use AI to find trades with a high probability of profit. And it’s already delivering amazing results. |
This includes +100% gains with Tesla, Freeport, Disney, Iron Mountain and Paramount since May 14. Plus, a 228% gain on Freeport on June 22. |
That’s 6 triple digit winners in the last 60 days! |
Here’s a link to get this week’s upcoming trades. |
Ian Wyatt
Editor, IPO Watch |
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