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The AI revenue race just broke wide open. |
New data from TickerTrends shows Anthropic's annualized revenue on pace for $74 billion. OpenAI is on track for $41 billion. |
That's a $32.8 billion gap. Anthropic is now generating 80% more revenue than OpenAI. |
Consider where these two companies started the year. |
In January, OpenAI's run rate was $21.4 billion. Anthropic's was $10.2 billion. |
Six months later, the positions have completely reversed. Anthropic's revenue has jumped roughly 7x since January. OpenAI's has doubled. |
The crossover happened in May. Anthropic hasn't looked back. |
Anthropic's last officially confirmed figure was a $47 billion run rate in May. The $74 billion figure is an independent tracking estimate for periods the company hasn't reported. OpenAI's last confirmed number was $25 billion. |
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What's driving the surge? Enterprise customers. |
Roughly 85% of Anthropic's revenue comes from businesses and developers. Claude Code has become the standard tool for AI-powered software development. That revenue is stickier and higher-margin than consumer subscriptions. |
OpenAI still owns the consumer market. ChatGPT has hundreds of millions of users. But converting free users into dollars has proven slower than selling to enterprises. |
The profit picture tells the same story. Anthropic posted its first operating profit in the second quarter. OpenAI is projecting roughly $14 billion in losses this year, with positive cash flow not expected until the end of the decade. |
Now connect this to the IPO calendar. |
Both companies confidentially filed with the SEC in June. Anthropic is widely expected to list first — with an IPO in the timeframe of October – December. OpenAI could go public in late 2026 or early 2027. |
Anthropic's last private valuation was $965 billion. OpenAI's was $852 billion. |
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Ian Wyatt
Editor, IPO Watch |
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