Thursday looked like the perfect recipe for a tech rally.
The U.S. economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, far fewer than expected, giving investors fresh hope that the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates as aggressively. |
The Dow surged to another record high, while expectations for a September rate hike eased following the report.
Chip stocks extended their selloff for a second straight session, with the semiconductor index tumbling 5.4% as investors continued locking in profits after one of the strongest first halves in the industry's history.
The Nasdaq slipped, and Tesla fell more than 7% despite delivering more vehicles than Wall Street expected.
Thursday's biggest lesson? Even good news can't make everyone happy. |
|
|
⚡ Closing Bell:
→ Dow Jones: ▲ +1.14% to 52,900.07 › Closed at another record high as softer jobs data eased Fed concerns.
→ S&P 500: ► Flat at 7,483.24 › Ended little changed as gains outside technology offset chip weakness.
→ Nasdaq: ▼ -0.80% to 25,832.67 › Semiconductor stocks extended their selloff for a second straight session.
→ Russell 2000: ▼ -0.55% to 2,996.11 › Small caps slipped below the 3,000 mark as investors took profits after a strong first-half rally. |
|
|
Macro Moves:
→ 10-Year Treasury Yield: ▲ to 4.42% › Yields climbed as stronger economic data kept rate-hike expectations alive.
→ 2-Year Treasury Yield: ▲ to 4.14% › Short-term yields rose as markets continued pricing at least one Fed hike this year.
→ Dollar Index (DXY): ▲ around 101.6 › The dollar capped a strong quarter as higher U.S. rate expectations supported demand.
→ Bitcoin: ▼ over 3% › Crypto slipped toward a 21-month low even as stocks finished the quarter strong. |
|
|
❗❗❗ Looking Ahead:
No opening bell today.
Happy 4th of July! 🇺🇸 ✨ |
|
|
#TRUTH:
❗❗❗ ❝ Liberty, when it begins to take root, is a plant of rapid growth. ❞
~ George Washington |
|
|
|
|
|
While everyone was distracted with the recent SpaceX IPO… |
Elon Musk quietly filed a patent with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office to protect what Jeff Brown believes will be his next breakthrough… |
Something he called "the greatest tech invention in history." |
Click here to see the details because Elon is predicting this new AI breakthrough will unleash a $1 quadrillion new wealth wave. |
|
|
When Good News Isn’t Good Enough |
|
|
Tesla delivered exactly what investors had been hoping for. |
Just not what they hadn’t already expected. |
The EV maker reported second-quarter deliveries above Wall Street estimates, extending what had already been a strong week for the stock. |
Then shares fell 7.5%. |
The reaction had little to do with the delivery numbers themselves. |
Investors had spent days buying ahead of the announcement, leaving little room for another leg higher once the news finally arrived. |
It’s a familiar pattern on Wall Street. |
Stocks don’t move on whether news is good or bad. |
They move on whether the news is better or worse than what investors have already priced in. |
Thursday wasn’t a verdict on Tesla’s quarter. |
It was a reminder that expectations often matter more than results.
|
|
|
The AI Toll Booth |
|
|
Big Tech has spent hundreds of billions of dollars building AI infrastructure in the past two years. |
Now one company may be trying to monetize it. |
Meta is reportedly planning to launch a cloud business that would sell excess AI computing capacity, turning idle data centers into a potential new revenue stream. |
The idea is simple. |
If Meta doesn’t need every GPU it has purchased, why not rent the spare capacity to someone who does? |
Investors liked the possibility. |
Companies built around renting AI infrastructure—including CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN, and Cipher Digital—didn’t. |
Their shares fell sharply as the report raised a new question: if hyperscalers become cloud providers themselves, who needs the middleman? |
The reaction spread across the semiconductor sector as investors wondered whether slower infrastructure spending could eventually translate into fewer chip orders.
|
|
|
The IPO Door Opens a Little Wider |
|
|
Electric scooter company Lime made its Nasdaq debut Wednesday after pricing its IPO at $25 per share, opening at $27 as investors welcomed one of the latest additions to a slowly reopening IPO market.
|
The timing wasn’t accidental. |
Lime spent years burning venture capital while competing for city contracts and battling regulation. Today, it’s a different company. |
The business has been free cash flow positive for three consecutive years, grew revenue 29% in 2025, and plans to use much of its IPO proceeds to pay down debt. |
Recent IPOs have shown that investors are once again willing to back new public companies—but they’re demanding something they largely ignored during the last boom. |
Profitable growth. |
|
|
Gains & Pains: |
Gains:
➝ Apple: ▲ +4.84% › Reports of five new iPhone models helped lift the Dow to another record. |
➝ Moderna: ▲ +10.0% › Healthcare stocks outperformed as investors rotated into defensive names. |
➝ AeroVironment: ▲ +11.0% › Won a $500 million U.S. government contract. |
➝ Rivian: ▲ +8.4% › Raised its 2026 delivery outlook after stronger-than-expected demand. |
➝ Strategy: ▲ +7.9% › Bitcoin’s rebound lifted the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. |
😬 Pains:
➝ SanDisk: ▼ -14.13% › Profit-taking continued across semiconductor stocks for a second straight session. |
➝ Teradyne: ▼ -14% › AI hardware names remained under heavy selling pressure. |
➝ Bending Spoons: ▼ -11.3% › Gave back part of Wednesday’s 40% post-listing surge. |
➝ Tesla: ▼ -7.5% › Better-than-expected deliveries weren’t enough after investors took profits. |
➝ Meta: ▼ -4.9% › AI infrastructure concerns continued to weigh on megacap technology. |
|
|
Escapes: |
Liberty Island📍 New York City 🇺🇸 |
|
|
|
|
|
Commodities Check : ✔️ |
→ WTI Crude: ▼ $68.47/barrel › Eased as traders watched progress in U.S.-Iran talks over reopening shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. |
→ Brent Crude: ▲ $71.60/barrel › Finished little changed as diplomatic optimism offset supply concerns. |
→ Gold: ▲ $4,119.36/oz › Jumped more than 2% as softer jobs data reduced expectations for a near-term Fed rate hike. |
→ Silver: ▲ $60.83/oz › Climbed nearly 3%, supported by a weaker dollar. |
→ Corn: ▼ $4.41½/bushel › Favorable Midwest weather kept a lid on prices despite supportive USDA inventory data. |
→ Soybeans: ▼ $11.47¾/bushel › Eased as improving crop conditions outweighed hopes for stronger Chinese demand. |
→ Wheat: ▼ $5.99¾/bushel › Slipped on expectations of abundant global supplies, despite lower-than-expected U.S. plantings.
|
|
|
The stinger: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
|
|
Was this email forwarded to you? Don’t miss out on future stories — subscribe using the button below.
Also, help your friends blossom this spring! Share us with them. |
|
|
|
|
💬 We Want To Hear Your Story: |
Just drop your request in the comments here. |
|
|
P.S. - If you no longer want to receive occasional emails from us and you want to unsubscribe, click here 👉 “Unsubscribe” . Thank you! |
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
This publication is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice and is not based on any individual’s financial circumstances, goals, or risk tolerance. We are not registered investment, stock, or commodity advisors. Always consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. |
Information provided in this newsletter (and on any affiliated website) is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions expressed are those of the authors and are subject to change without notice. |
From time to time, this publication may include sponsored content, affiliate links, or advertisements. Such inclusions do not constitute endorsements, and any compensation received does not influence the analysis or opinions presented. TradingLessons is not affiliated with, nor does it verify or guarantee the claims, products, or services of any sponsor or advertiser. Readers should perform their own due diligence before engaging with any advertised offerings. |
Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy, sell, or trade any security, commodity, derivative, or other financial instrument. This content is intended solely to highlight market developments and educational insights to help readers enhance their understanding of trading and risk management.
|
0 التعليقات:
إرسال تعليق