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*together with Option Pit |
“Show Me The Money Window” |
10 Minutes Per Day. Same Time Daily. |
Goal Is Fast Wins On Just 2 Stocks |
⇒ Free Training With Olivia Voz. |
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Good morning, RagingBull fam! That was quite the session yesterday! The DOW was down 900 points when I was having lunch around noon! |
Today is a new day, so let’s get right to it! |
The U.S. stock market heads into today under pressure as investors digest a high-stakes Federal Reserve policy decision, critical geopolitical escalations in the Middle East, and a massive wave of Big Tech earnings. After enduring volatility that dragged down the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average by hundreds of points, the market's focus has shifted entirely to structural economic data. |
This morning brings a crucial barrage of macroeconomic indicators, led by the first preliminary reading of Q2 GDP and the June Core PCE Deflator data. Traders are analyzing whether corporate profit growth can withstand a challenging landscape of sticky inflation, high borrowing costs, and aggressive market rotation |
⭐Navigating the Macro Triggers: |
The final trading session of July is dominated by major policy adjustments and economic data releases that will shape asset allocations for the remainder of the quarter. |
Deconstructing the Fed's Move: The market is responding to the latest monetary policy verdict delivered by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Heading into the announcement, futures markets factored in a nervous 30% to 35% chance of a surprise interest rate hike. This volatility stemmed from the Fed's updated, tight-lipped communication style and a determination to clamp down on sticky consumer inflation. Absorbing the Q2 Data Gauntlet: At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Bureau of Economic Analysis drops the first reading of Q2 GDP alongside Personal Income and Consumption numbers. Most importantly, the Core PCE Deflator—the Fed's preferred inflation metric—will either validate a potential rate pause or fuel anxiety that higher-for-longer rates are locked in.
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⭐Managing Geopolitical and Commodity Shocks: |
Renewed hostilities in the Middle East have broken a brief diplomatic lull, introducing a sharp risk-off sentiment across global exchanges. |
Mitigating the Energy Spike: Following surprise Iranian ballistic missile attacks aimed at U.S. forces—and a subsequent joint U.S.-Saudi counter-strike against regional militias in Iraq—energy markets have re-accelerated. Global benchmark Brent crude futures jumped over 6% back above $89 per barrel. Tracking Inflationary Drag: The sudden commodity spike threatens to reverse recent cooling in consumer prices. Long-term borrowing benchmarks, such as the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield, remain elevated above 5%, choking corporate debt markets and placing severe stress on growth equity valuations.
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⭐Auditing Big Tech Capital Expenditures: |
Equity leadership continues to undergo a massive structural rotation away from high-flying semiconductor names and toward defensive sectors. |
Evaluating AI Return on Investment: Results from tech titans Microsoft and Meta Platforms dictate the broader tone for the Nasdaq. Analysts are scrutinizing rising data center capital expenditure budgets to determine if massive AI infrastructure investments are successfully translating to matching top-line growth. Bracing for the Apple Milestone: The technology market is focused on Apple's earnings report scheduled after the close. Options pricing indicates a projected 4% swing for the stock, which has hovered around a historic $5 trillion market capitalization under incoming leadership. Reviewing the Corporate Earnings Slate: Beyond mega-cap tech, Thursday's corporate earnings docket includes vital health, financial, and industrial indicators from companies such as Mastercard, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, and Valero Energy.
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📈Trade Idea: |
I’m going to focus on SPY calls and puts due to everything that’s going on. I’m talking about short-term hold times, trading at-the-money options that expire very soon. I will use VWAP as my primary buy/sell indicator, and I’ll also pay attention to the 3 and 8 exponential moving averages. I’ll primarily use a 5-minute chart with extended hours turned on. |
If you have no idea what I’m talking about, this is actually pretty basic trading lingo, and it’s not difficult to process once you learn it. Rather, stuff like this becomes second nature. |
Olivia Voz is a SPY trading legend, and you can learn from her top strategies right now. Go here. You’ll get the SPY ins and outs you need to know right away. You’ll be gifted a new free report just for checking it out! |
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I hope you have a great day, enjoy the highly valuable resources provided in this message, and successfully move money out of the market into your pocket today! |
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To YOUR Success, |
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