Oil climbed again. The Hormuz deal looked further away. Tech slipped. And CPI was waiting on later this morning. |
So, naturally, everyone got cautious. |
The Nasdaq fell 0.6% ▼, the S&P 500 lost 0.3% ▼, and the Dow slipped 0.3% ▼.
But underneath the red, more S&P stocks actually rose than fell — while value and equal-weight indexes quietly hit fresh records. |
In other words, investors weren’t running for the exits. |
They were just standing a little closer to them. |
Now CPI gets the next move.
It lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline inflation expected to cool to 3.4% YoY and core to 2.5% — a hotter print could quickly revive September hike bets; Cisco reports after the bell, with PPI following Thursday. |
Macro Moves:
The 10-year Treasury yield held near 4.70% as bond markets waited on CPI, the Dollar Index barely moved at 99.82, the yen hovered around 159 per dollar despite recent intervention, and Bitcoin slipped ~0.8% as investors kept risk-taking in check.
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Google's DeepMind CEO says AI will be "10X bigger than the Industrial Revolution. And maybe 10X faster." |
Best-selling financial author Alexander Green has identified three companies positioned to soar. |
He was right about Apple. In 1996. Under $1 a share. |
He was right about Netflix. At $1.62. |
He was right about Amazon. Under $2. |
He warned his readers about the dot-com crash. One month before it peaked. |
He warned about the housing crisis. Nine months before Lehman Brothers collapsed. |
Now Alexander Green says the biggest wealth-creation event of his 40-year career is unfolding right now. |
He calls it Phase 2 of the AI Supercycle. |
And he's identified three stocks he believes could dominate the next phase. |
CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT IF HE'S RIGHT
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#TRUTH:
❗❗❗ ❝ The two most powerful warriors are patience and time. ❞ ~ Leo Tolstoy |
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Superforecast. |
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Supermicro’s quarter was a little messy. Its forecast wasn’t. |
The AI server maker beat on earnings but narrowly missed revenue, then told investors to expect $14.5B–$15.5B in Q1 sales — miles ahead of Wall Street’s $11.9B estimate. |
That was enough to send shares up more than 6% after hours and nearly **10% in early premarket trading. |
And there was plenty behind the confidence: |
→ $60B+ in new orders over the past year
→ Record backlog entering fiscal 2027
→ 17.6% gross margin, up from 9.6% a year ago
→ Plans to help build a gigawatt-scale data center for SpaceX and xAI |
The interesting part? Supermicro has spent the past year watching its AI-infrastructure peers leave it behind — shares are down roughly 30%, while Dell has more than tripled. |
One big forecast doesn’t erase that gap. But it finally gave investors a reason to look again.
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SPONSOR BREAK presented by MarketWise* |
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President Trump just went on record: the AI data center buildout sweeping America is unstoppable. s Communities across the country have been pushing back – over rising electricity bills, strained water supplies, and projects landing next door to homes and schools. But the AI buildout isn't slowing down. In fact, Elon Musk's master plan – hidden inside SpaceX – avoids every obstacle. Analyst Rob Spivey says folks who understand what Elon is building – and why – could make a lot of money in the right stocks. |
Get the name and ticker of the No. 1 stock at the center of it FREE (not Tesla or SpaceX). |
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Starting Small-ish. |
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Accel just raised $3.5 billion to find the next generation of AI startups. |
That sounds like a lot for “early stage.” These days, apparently, it isn’t. |
The VC firm behind Anthropic, Cursor and Perplexity raised four new funds as AI startups increasingly raise larger amounts of money earlier in their lives. Accel has already seen that shift firsthand: last year it joined a $300 million seed round for Periodic Labs that valued the young AI research company at $1.3 billion. |
The new money spreads the bet globally: |
→ $1.35B for larger early-stage rounds and follow-on investments
→ $800M for the U.S.
→ $800M for Europe and Israel
→ $550M for India |
But Accel is also widening what counts as an AI investment. The firm has expanded beyond software and infrastructure into manufacturing, materials science and other deep-tech industries, betting AI can reshape physical businesses the way traditional software reshaped digital ones. |
And the checks are getting bigger because the companies are getting more ambitious — sometimes before they've had much time to prove themselves. |
What This Means → The AI boom isn't just pushing valuations higher. It's changing how early “early-stage” money gets serious. Accel is raising billions to get in sooner, because waiting for the winners to become obvious may now mean waiting too long. |
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The $15 Lunch Is Going Extinct |
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The humble cheeseburger just became an economic indicator. |
DoorDash’s new “Cheeseburger Index” tracks the average cost of a burger, fries and a soda across the country. Over the past year, that very scientific basket got 3.2% more expensive — and the once-reliable $15 meal is getting surprisingly hard to find. |
Only four cities in the report still came in below $15: |
→ $12.94 — Austin
→ $13.39 — Laredo
→ $13.86 — Lincoln
→ $14.99 — Detroit |
Then there’s Anchorage, where the exact same order averages $28.28 — more than twice the price in Austin. |
DoorDash says the difference isn't simply the burger. Labor, rent, energy and other local operating costs increasingly determine what ends up on the menu. |
And the squeeze goes well beyond takeout. Grocery prices are now 32% higher than five years ago, while a recent poll found 66% of Americans say groceries have become unaffordable. |
What This Means → Inflation reports can tell you prices are rising. A $28 cheeseburger combo makes the point a little faster. |
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Gains & Pains: |
Gains:
→ NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ): ▲ 41.95% › Shares exploded higher after Q2 results impressed investors, with the company reporting stronger growth and raising its outlook.
→ Alamar Biosciences (ALMR): ▲ 30.65% › The proteomics company surged after reporting Q2 results, with revenue jumping 82% and the company providing its 2026 revenue outlook.
→ Septena (SEPN): ▲ 22.93% › The biotech name was one of Tuesday’s biggest gainers, closing at $47.76.
→ Fermi (FRMI): ▲ 21.09% › Shares jumped after the AI-infrastructure developer announced a deal to add 2.6 GW of power capacity at its Texas campus.
→ NextNav (NN): ▲ 15.55% › Shares rallied after better-than-expected Q2 revenue and news that the company ended the quarter debt-free, adding momentum to its GPS-backup network story.
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😬 Pains:
→ Life360 (LIF): ▼ 24.76% › Shares plunged after Q2 earnings missed Wall Street’s EPS expectations, overshadowing the company’s reiterated full-year revenue outlook.
→ On Holding (ONON): ▼ 20.29% › The sneaker maker suffered a brutal selloff after Q2 sales missed estimates and its outlook disappointed investors.
→ Hub Group (HUBG): ▼ 19.75% › Shares extended their slide following financial restatements that have triggered investor scrutiny and litigation.
→ eToro (ETOR): ▼ 13.74% › Shares sank following the trading platform’s Q2 results as investors digested the latest numbers and outlook.
→ Nayax (NYAX): ▼ 13.11% › The payments-tech stock dropped sharply to $53.87, extending a broader pullback in the shares.
Most Active🔥:
→ Plug Power (PLUG): ▲ 5.21% › The hydrogen stock drew heavy trading and finished at $2.22.
→ Intel (INTC): ▲ 0.19% › Shares steadied after Intel completed a massive $20 billion share sale, its first stock offering since going public in 1971.
→ SpaceX (SPCX): ▼ 3.93% › Shares gave back some of Monday’s rebound, falling to $133.29 after briefly reclaiming their $135 IPO price a day earlier.
→ Archer Aviation (ACHR): ▲ 8.47% › The eVTOL name jumped to $6.79 on heavy trading.
→ Nvidia (NVDA): ▼ 0.02% › Shares were essentially flat at $217.50 as investors digested Nvidia’s newly announced $500B+ AI infrastructure financing initiative with major financial institutions. |
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Escapes: |
The Ozarks 📍 Missouri 🇺🇸 |
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Commodities Check : ✔️ |
→ Brent Crude: ▲ 1.4% to $88.91/barrel › Oil extended Monday’s 5% surge as doubts grew that a U.S.–Iran deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz anytime soon.
→ WTI Crude: ▲ 1.3% to $83.20/barrel › The same supply fears pushed U.S. crude to its highest close since July 31.
→ Gold: ▼ 0.3% to $4,376.31/oz › Bullion backed off a two-month high as traders waited for Wednesday’s CPI report to settle the Fed debate.
→ Silver: ▼ 1.4% to $64.80/oz › Silver cooled alongside precious metals ahead of the inflation print.
→ Platinum: ▼ 0.7% to $1,740.37/oz › Precious metals took a breather as rate uncertainty remained in focus.
→ Palladium: ▼ 1.3% to $1,365.60/oz › Palladium joined the broader metals pullback.
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The stinger: |
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Disclaimer: |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
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